World Library  

Add to Book Shelf
Flag as Inappropriate
Email this Book

Drought Assessment and Trends Analysis from 20Th Century to 21St Century Over China : Volume 371, Issue 371 (12/06/2015)

By Yang, X. L.

Click here to view

Book Id: WPLBN0004021447
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 6
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Drought Assessment and Trends Analysis from 20Th Century to 21St Century Over China : Volume 371, Issue 371 (12/06/2015)  
Author: Yang, X. L.
Volume: Vol. 371, Issue 371
Language: English
Subject: Science, Proceedings, International
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Publication Date:
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications


APA MLA Chicago

Jiang, S. H., Tong, R., Yuan, F., Yang, X. L., Cheng, X. R., Ren, L. L., & Liu, Y. (2015). Drought Assessment and Trends Analysis from 20Th Century to 21St Century Over China : Volume 371, Issue 371 (12/06/2015). Retrieved from

Description: State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China. Droughts are becoming the most expensive natural disasters in China and have exerted serious impacts on local economic development and ecological environment. The fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) provides a unique opportunity to assess scientific understanding of climate variability and change over a range of historical and future period. In this study, fine-resolution multimodel climate projections over China are developed based on 7 CMIP5 climate models under RCP8.5 emissions scenarios by means of Bilinear Interpolation and Bias Correction. The results of downscaled CMIP5 models are evaluated over China by comparing the model outputs with the England Reanalysis CRU3.1 from 1951 to 2000. Accordingly, the results from the output of downscaled models are used to calculate the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). Time series of SPI has been used to identify drought from 20th century to 21st century over China. The results show that, most areas of China are projected to become wetter as a consequence of increasing precipitation under RCP8.5 scenarios. Detailed examination shows that the SPI show a slightly increasing trend in the future period for the most parts of China, but drought in Southwest region of China will become the norm in the future RCP8.5 scenarios.

Drought assessment and trends analysis from 20th century to 21st century over China

IPCC: Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report, in: Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Core Writing Team, Pachauri, R. K., and Reisinger, A., IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 104 pp., 2007.; Li, H. B., Sheffield, J., and Wood, E. F.: Bias correction of monthly precipitation and temperature fields from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change AR4 models using equidistant quantile matching, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 115, D10101, doi:10.1029/2009JD012882, 2010.; McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., and Kleist, J.: The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, in: Proc. Eight Conf. on Applied Climatology, 17–22 January, Anaheim, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA, 179–184, 1993.; Meinshausen, M., Smith, S. J., Calvin, K., Daniel, J. S., Kainuma, M. L. T., Lamarque, J.-F., Matsumoto, K., Montzka, S. A., Raper, S. C. B., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Velders, G. J. M., and van Vuuren, D. P. P.: The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300, Clim. Change, 109, 213–241, 2011.; Moreira, E. E., Paulo, A. A., Pereira, L. S., and Mexia, J. T.: Analysis of SPI drought class transitions using loglinear models, J. Hydrol., 331, 349–359, 2006.; Moss, R. H., Edmonds, J. A., Hibbard, K. A., Manning, M. R., Rose S. K., van Vuuren, D. P., Carter, T. R., Emori, S., Kainuma, M., Kram, T., Meehl, G. A., Mitchell, J. F., Nakicenovic, N., Riahi, K., Smith, S. J., Stouffer, R. J., Thomson, A. M., Weyant, J. P., and Wilbanks, T. J.: The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment, Nature, 463, 747–756, 2010.; New, M., Lister, D., Hulme, M., and Makin, I.: A high-resolution data set of surface climate over global land areas, Clim. Res., 21, 1–25, 2002.; Panofsky, H. A. and Brier, G. W.: Some Application of Statistics to Meteorology, Pa. State Univ., University Park, Pa, USA, 224 pp., 1958.; Redmond, K. T.: The depiction of drought, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 83, 1143–1147, 2002.; Storch, H. V. and Zwiers, F. W.: Statistical Analysis in Climate Research, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 455 pp., 1999.; Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., and Meehl, G. A.: A summary of the CMIP5 experimental design, report, World. Clim. Res. Program, Geneva, Switzerland, 1–33, 2009.; Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., and Meehl, G. A.: An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 93, 485–498, 2012.; Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Beguería, S., Lorenzo-Lacruz, J., Camarero, J. J., López-Moreno, J. I., Azorin-Molina, C., Revuelto, J., Morán-Tejeda, E., and Sanchez-Lorenzo, A.: Performance of drought indices for ecological, agricultural, and hydrological applications, Earth Interact., 16, 1–27, 2012.; Wang, L. and Chen, W.: A CMIP5 multimodel projection of future temperature, precipitation, and climato logical drought in China, Int. J. Climatol., 34, 2059–2078, 2014.; Wilby, R. L. and Wigley, T. M. L.: Downscaling general circulation model output: a review of methods and limitations, Prog. Phys. Geogr., 21, 530–548, 1997.; Wood, A. W., Leung, L. R., Sridhar, V., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs, Clim. Change, 62, 189–216, 2004.


Click To View

Additional Books

  • Preface: Hs02 – Hydrologic Non-stationar... (by )
  • Distribution and Sources of Suspended Pa... (by )
  • Climate Change Track in River Floods in ... (by )
  • Long-term Flood Controls on Semi-arid Ri... (by )
  • A Process-based Analysis of the Suitabil... (by )
  • Ensemble Seasonal Forecast of Extreme Wa... (by )
  • Driving Factors for Runoff Decline in th... (by )
  • Water Dynamics Under Changing Land Cover... (by )
  • Scientific and Practical Tools for Deali... (by )
  • Channel Morphodynamics on a Small Progla... (by )
  • Where Does Blue Water Go in the Semi-ari... (by )
  • Effectiveness of Water Infrastructure fo... (by )
Scroll Left
Scroll Right


Copyright © World Library Foundation. All rights reserved. eBooks from World eBook Fair are sponsored by the World Library Foundation,
a 501c(4) Member's Support Non-Profit Organization, and is NOT affiliated with any governmental agency or department.