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Drought Assessment and Trends Analysis from 20Th Century to 21St Century Over China : Volume 371, Issue 371 (12/06/2015)

By Yang, X. L.

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Book Id: WPLBN0004021447
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 6
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Drought Assessment and Trends Analysis from 20Th Century to 21St Century Over China : Volume 371, Issue 371 (12/06/2015)  
Author: Yang, X. L.
Volume: Vol. 371, Issue 371
Language: English
Subject: Science, Proceedings, International
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Historic
Publication Date:
2015
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications

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Jiang, S. H., Tong, R., Yuan, F., Yang, X. L., Cheng, X. R., Ren, L. L., & Liu, Y. (2015). Drought Assessment and Trends Analysis from 20Th Century to 21St Century Over China : Volume 371, Issue 371 (12/06/2015). Retrieved from http://www.worldebookfair.com/


Description
Description: State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China. Droughts are becoming the most expensive natural disasters in China and have exerted serious impacts on local economic development and ecological environment. The fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) provides a unique opportunity to assess scientific understanding of climate variability and change over a range of historical and future period. In this study, fine-resolution multimodel climate projections over China are developed based on 7 CMIP5 climate models under RCP8.5 emissions scenarios by means of Bilinear Interpolation and Bias Correction. The results of downscaled CMIP5 models are evaluated over China by comparing the model outputs with the England Reanalysis CRU3.1 from 1951 to 2000. Accordingly, the results from the output of downscaled models are used to calculate the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). Time series of SPI has been used to identify drought from 20th century to 21st century over China. The results show that, most areas of China are projected to become wetter as a consequence of increasing precipitation under RCP8.5 scenarios. Detailed examination shows that the SPI show a slightly increasing trend in the future period for the most parts of China, but drought in Southwest region of China will become the norm in the future RCP8.5 scenarios.

Summary
Drought assessment and trends analysis from 20th century to 21st century over China

Excerpt
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